It's the MOST WONDERFUL time of the yeeeeaaarrr!
The nights (in the northern hemisphere) are almost at their longest and the mid-winter booze and food fest is nearly upon us. With that in mind and the fairy lights going up, it's time to reflect on the year gone by and look forward on the year to come. And so in that spirit....
Welcome, to the Box Office Top Ten Predictor Game 2022!
This is a fun game for folks who follow movie box office stories and charts, looking at films coming out in the US during 2022.
The goal is simple:
Use your crystal balls to predict 2022’s top 10 films in terms box office takings in the domestic US, in the order you think they will place as at the end of 31st December 2022.
You get to pick an overall 'squad' of 15 films, the top ten and a subs bench of 5 Dark Horses. Dark Horse picks allow you to choose 5 extra films that you are less sure of appearing in the top 10 but you can get some points if they do instead of one of your main picks. Good examples in recent years could be films like Venom, Deadpool, and IT.
COVID made the past two years near unpredictable. And now that Omicron is here, who knows with 2022. To me, that makes this all the more fun.
Scoring:
Getting number 1 or number 10 dead-on gets you 13 points (each).
10 points for numbers 2-9 dead-on
7 points if your pick got into the top ten and was only one spot away from where it ended up
5 points if it was in the top ten and two spots away
3 points if your pick is anywhere in the Top 10
1 point for each dark horse that makes it into the Top 10
The scoring is tabulated so that you get the SINGLE HIGHEST point value for each pick- that is, if you get number ten right, you don't get 13+3, you get 13.
The maximum possible score is 106.
Scoring is limited to films which are in the top ten. So, if you nominate a film at 9 or 10 and they come in at 11 or 12, the 7 and 5 points won’t apply.
Notes:
1. This is for the US domestic Box Office only. No overseas figures are included.
2. Only films which open in the US in 2022 can be included. You can find a list here: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/calendar/?ref_=bo_nb_yld_tab; or here: https://www.movieinsider.com/movies/2022
E.g. Any 2022 gross for West Side Story, Spider-Man: No Way Home or The Matrix: Resurrections, will not be included
3. Only takings up to the 31st December 2022 will be included.
E.g. Avatar 2 is currently due for release on 16 December 2022 and will only have 16 days of takings counted. That doesn’t mean a late released film can’t make it into the top ten, some have made it to the top. For Star Wars: The Force Awakens back in 2015, that cut off made the difference between first and second place (by roughly $5K! It was beaten by Jurassic World).
4. After entries close, there will be no substitutions if you nominate a film currently on the release schedule, which is then pushed back into another year or cancelled altogether by the studio after entries close. A good example of this in recent years is Top Gun: Maverick (and most of this years films which were pushed back from last year).
5. Likewise, there will be no substitutions if you nominate a film currently on the theatrical release schedule that then is bought by Netflix or Amazon or other streaming service and doesn’t get a theatrical release. This has happened to The Cloverfield Paradox and Mowgli in recent, pre-Covid years. Likewise, if you nominate a direct to streaming release (i.e. Hocus Pocus 2 is direct to Disney+) and I don’t catch it and warn you, no subs.
6. You are free to make and post changes to your predictions at any time between when you first post them and when entries close.
7. Entries close at Noon UK time on 17th January 2022. No changes or late entries will be included after this point.
In the event of a tie
If there is a tie break situation, the winner will be determined, on a sliding scale by:
1. Who nominated the most films which scored 13
2. Who nominated the most films which scored 10
3. Who nominated the most films which scored 7
4. Who nominated the most films which scored 5
5. Who nominated the most films which scored 3
6. Who had the most scoring Dark Horse nominations
7. Who had the most scoring nominations altogether
8. Who had the highest placing, non-scoring nominated film
9. If the two nominations list match exactly, whoever posted that list first
The nights (in the northern hemisphere) are almost at their longest and the mid-winter booze and food fest is nearly upon us. With that in mind and the fairy lights going up, it's time to reflect on the year gone by and look forward on the year to come. And so in that spirit....
Welcome, to the Box Office Top Ten Predictor Game 2022!
This is a fun game for folks who follow movie box office stories and charts, looking at films coming out in the US during 2022.
The goal is simple:
Use your crystal balls to predict 2022’s top 10 films in terms box office takings in the domestic US, in the order you think they will place as at the end of 31st December 2022.
You get to pick an overall 'squad' of 15 films, the top ten and a subs bench of 5 Dark Horses. Dark Horse picks allow you to choose 5 extra films that you are less sure of appearing in the top 10 but you can get some points if they do instead of one of your main picks. Good examples in recent years could be films like Venom, Deadpool, and IT.
COVID made the past two years near unpredictable. And now that Omicron is here, who knows with 2022. To me, that makes this all the more fun.
Scoring:
Getting number 1 or number 10 dead-on gets you 13 points (each).
10 points for numbers 2-9 dead-on
7 points if your pick got into the top ten and was only one spot away from where it ended up
5 points if it was in the top ten and two spots away
3 points if your pick is anywhere in the Top 10
1 point for each dark horse that makes it into the Top 10
The scoring is tabulated so that you get the SINGLE HIGHEST point value for each pick- that is, if you get number ten right, you don't get 13+3, you get 13.
The maximum possible score is 106.
Scoring is limited to films which are in the top ten. So, if you nominate a film at 9 or 10 and they come in at 11 or 12, the 7 and 5 points won’t apply.
Notes:
1. This is for the US domestic Box Office only. No overseas figures are included.
2. Only films which open in the US in 2022 can be included. You can find a list here: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/calendar/?ref_=bo_nb_yld_tab; or here: https://www.movieinsider.com/movies/2022
E.g. Any 2022 gross for West Side Story, Spider-Man: No Way Home or The Matrix: Resurrections, will not be included
3. Only takings up to the 31st December 2022 will be included.
E.g. Avatar 2 is currently due for release on 16 December 2022 and will only have 16 days of takings counted. That doesn’t mean a late released film can’t make it into the top ten, some have made it to the top. For Star Wars: The Force Awakens back in 2015, that cut off made the difference between first and second place (by roughly $5K! It was beaten by Jurassic World).
4. After entries close, there will be no substitutions if you nominate a film currently on the release schedule, which is then pushed back into another year or cancelled altogether by the studio after entries close. A good example of this in recent years is Top Gun: Maverick (and most of this years films which were pushed back from last year).
5. Likewise, there will be no substitutions if you nominate a film currently on the theatrical release schedule that then is bought by Netflix or Amazon or other streaming service and doesn’t get a theatrical release. This has happened to The Cloverfield Paradox and Mowgli in recent, pre-Covid years. Likewise, if you nominate a direct to streaming release (i.e. Hocus Pocus 2 is direct to Disney+) and I don’t catch it and warn you, no subs.
6. You are free to make and post changes to your predictions at any time between when you first post them and when entries close.
7. Entries close at Noon UK time on 17th January 2022. No changes or late entries will be included after this point.
In the event of a tie
If there is a tie break situation, the winner will be determined, on a sliding scale by:
1. Who nominated the most films which scored 13
2. Who nominated the most films which scored 10
3. Who nominated the most films which scored 7
4. Who nominated the most films which scored 5
5. Who nominated the most films which scored 3
6. Who had the most scoring Dark Horse nominations
7. Who had the most scoring nominations altogether
8. Who had the highest placing, non-scoring nominated film
9. If the two nominations list match exactly, whoever posted that list first
