Basically, I am just cutting and pasting what @The Knappos did last year... we can feel free to delete this thread if needed and start a new one.. I am slowly working on my list.. and really still using this post as a draft. I probably missed a lot, and will continue to revise for a while.
==
This is a fun game for folks who follow movie box office stories and charts, looking at films coming out in the US during 20245
The goal is simple:
Use your crystal balls to predict 2025’s top 10 films in terms box office takings in the domestic US, in the order you think they will place as at the end of 31st December 2025.
You get to pick an overall 'squad' of 15 films, the top ten and a subs bench of 5 Dark Horses. Dark Horse picks allow you to choose 5 extra films that you are less sure of appearing in the top 10 but you can get some points if they do instead of one of your main picks. Dark Horses can be listed as 11-15, or simply as DH1-DH5 (with no order preferred). The Dark Horses are simply "substitutes" for your original top 10, where you think a film has a chance to surprise us, but not "guaranteed:". Good examples in recent years could be films like Venom, Deadpool, IT and both Venoms.
If you haven’t played the game before and would like an idea of nominations, the 2022 game thread is here. And the 2023 game thread is here . As well as 2024
Scoring:
Getting number 1 or number 10 dead-on gets you 13 points (each).
10 points for numbers 2-9 dead-on
7 points if your pick got into the top ten and was only one spot away from where it ended up
5 points if it was in the top ten and two spots away
3 points if your pick is anywhere in the Top 10
1 point for each dark horse that makes it into the Top 10
The scoring is tabulated so that you get the SINGLE HIGHEST point value for each pick- that is, if you get number ten right, you don't get 13+3, you get 13.
The maximum possible score is 106.
Scoring is limited to films which are in the top ten. So, if you nominate a film at 9 or 10 and they come in at 11 or 12, the 7 and 5 points won’t apply.
Notes:
1. This is for the US domestic Box Office only. No overseas figures are included.
2. Only films which open in the US in 2024 can be included. You can find a list here: movieinsider.com/movies/2024
and here: boxofficemojo.com/calendar/2024.
E.g. Any 2024 gross from Sonic the Hedgehog 3 will not be included
3. Only takings up to the 31st December 2024 will be included.
E.g. the Sonic the Hedgehog sequel is currently due for release on 20 December 2024 and will only have 12 days of takings counted. For Star Wars: The Force Awakens back in 2015, that cut off made the difference between first and second place (by roughly $5K!).
4. There will be no substitutions if you nominate a film currently on the release schedule, which is then pushed back into another year or cancelled altogether by the studio after entries close. 5. Likewise, there will be no substitutions if you nominate a film currently on the theatrical release schedule that then is bought by Netflix/Amazon or is changed to a streaming only release and doesn’t get a theatrical run. Likewise, if you nominate a direct to streaming release and I don’t catch it and warn you, no subs after entries close.
6. If you change your username after entering, I am likely not to notice and continue referring to you by your previous username until the end of the competition (I don’t mind being corrected though).
7. You are free to make and post changes to your predictions at any time between when you first post them and when entries close.
8. Entries close at Noon UK time on 28th January 2025. No changes or late entries will be included after this point.
In the event of a tie
If there is a tie break situation, the winner will be determined, on a sliding scale by:
1. Who nominated the most films which scored 13
2. Who nominated the most films which scored 10
3. Who nominated the most films which scored 7
4. Who nominated the most films which scored 5
5. Who nominated the most films which scored 3
6. Who had the most scoring Dark Horse nominations
7. Who had the most scoring nominations altogether
8. Who had the highest placing, non-scoring nominated film
9. If the two nominations list match exactly, whoever posted that list first
2023 Box Office Predictor game. Entries closed 28 January 2024.
==
This is a fun game for folks who follow movie box office stories and charts, looking at films coming out in the US during 20245
The goal is simple:
Use your crystal balls to predict 2025’s top 10 films in terms box office takings in the domestic US, in the order you think they will place as at the end of 31st December 2025.
You get to pick an overall 'squad' of 15 films, the top ten and a subs bench of 5 Dark Horses. Dark Horse picks allow you to choose 5 extra films that you are less sure of appearing in the top 10 but you can get some points if they do instead of one of your main picks. Dark Horses can be listed as 11-15, or simply as DH1-DH5 (with no order preferred). The Dark Horses are simply "substitutes" for your original top 10, where you think a film has a chance to surprise us, but not "guaranteed:". Good examples in recent years could be films like Venom, Deadpool, IT and both Venoms.
If you haven’t played the game before and would like an idea of nominations, the 2022 game thread is here. And the 2023 game thread is here . As well as 2024
Scoring:
Getting number 1 or number 10 dead-on gets you 13 points (each).
10 points for numbers 2-9 dead-on
7 points if your pick got into the top ten and was only one spot away from where it ended up
5 points if it was in the top ten and two spots away
3 points if your pick is anywhere in the Top 10
1 point for each dark horse that makes it into the Top 10
The scoring is tabulated so that you get the SINGLE HIGHEST point value for each pick- that is, if you get number ten right, you don't get 13+3, you get 13.
The maximum possible score is 106.
Scoring is limited to films which are in the top ten. So, if you nominate a film at 9 or 10 and they come in at 11 or 12, the 7 and 5 points won’t apply.
Notes:
1. This is for the US domestic Box Office only. No overseas figures are included.
2. Only films which open in the US in 2024 can be included. You can find a list here: movieinsider.com/movies/2024
and here: boxofficemojo.com/calendar/2024.
E.g. Any 2024 gross from Sonic the Hedgehog 3 will not be included
3. Only takings up to the 31st December 2024 will be included.
E.g. the Sonic the Hedgehog sequel is currently due for release on 20 December 2024 and will only have 12 days of takings counted. For Star Wars: The Force Awakens back in 2015, that cut off made the difference between first and second place (by roughly $5K!).
4. There will be no substitutions if you nominate a film currently on the release schedule, which is then pushed back into another year or cancelled altogether by the studio after entries close. 5. Likewise, there will be no substitutions if you nominate a film currently on the theatrical release schedule that then is bought by Netflix/Amazon or is changed to a streaming only release and doesn’t get a theatrical run. Likewise, if you nominate a direct to streaming release and I don’t catch it and warn you, no subs after entries close.
6. If you change your username after entering, I am likely not to notice and continue referring to you by your previous username until the end of the competition (I don’t mind being corrected though).
7. You are free to make and post changes to your predictions at any time between when you first post them and when entries close.
8. Entries close at Noon UK time on 28th January 2025. No changes or late entries will be included after this point.
In the event of a tie
If there is a tie break situation, the winner will be determined, on a sliding scale by:
1. Who nominated the most films which scored 13
2. Who nominated the most films which scored 10
3. Who nominated the most films which scored 7
4. Who nominated the most films which scored 5
5. Who nominated the most films which scored 3
6. Who had the most scoring Dark Horse nominations
7. Who had the most scoring nominations altogether
8. Who had the highest placing, non-scoring nominated film
9. If the two nominations list match exactly, whoever posted that list first
2023 Box Office Predictor game. Entries closed 28 January 2024.
